weather
Weather betting - NOAA data for Polymarket weather markets
- License 许可
- GPL-3.0
- 最近更新
- 2026-08-29
- Stars
- ★ 2
- Forks
- 0
01 前言 Front Matter
- name
- weather
- emoji
- 🌤️
- gates
- { "envs": [ "POLY_API_KEY" ] }
- command
- weather
- description
- Weather betting - NOAA data for Polymarket weather markets
02 资源文件 1
- 脚本index.ts16.3 KB
03 SKILL.md 正文
Weather Betting
Use NOAA weather forecasts to find edge on Polymarket weather markets.
Commands
/weather scan Scan all weather markets for edge
/weather forecast <city> Get NOAA forecast for a city
/weather markets List active weather markets
/weather edge <market-id> Calculate edge for specific market
/weather bet <market-id> <amount> Execute bet
/weather auto [--threshold 10] Auto-bet on high-edge markets
/weather history View bet history
Examples
/weather forecast "New York"
/weather scan
/weather edge abc123
/weather bet abc123 10
/weather auto --threshold 15
How It Works
- Fetch NOAA Forecast: Get official NWS weather data (free, no API key)
- Match to Markets: Find Polymarket weather markets for the same location/date
- Calculate Edge: Compare NOAA probability to market YES price
- Bet if Edge: If NOAA probability differs significantly from market, bet
Edge Calculation
Edge = NOAA Probability - Market Price
Example:
NOAA says 80% chance of rain in NYC tomorrow
Polymarket "Will it rain in NYC?" YES price: 0.65 (65%)
Edge = 80% - 65% = +15% -> Bet YES
Supported Market Types
- Temperature: "Will NYC exceed 90°F on Saturday?"
- Precipitation: "Will it rain in LA tomorrow?"
- Snow: "Will Chicago get 6+ inches of snow?"
- Record: "Will Phoenix hit a record high this week?"
Confidence Levels
- High: Edge >= 15%, reliable forecast data
- Medium: Edge 10-15%, some uncertainty
- Low: Edge 5-10%, more speculative
Position Sizing
Uses quarter-Kelly criterion for conservative sizing:
Bet Size = Bankroll * (Edge / Odds) * 0.25
Capped at 10% of bankroll per bet.
Supported Cities
Major US cities including: New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix, Philadelphia, San Antonio, San Diego, Dallas, San Jose, Austin, Jacksonville, San Francisco, Seattle, Denver, Washington DC, Boston, Nashville, Detroit, and more.
04 同仓库更多 Skills
skillguard-codex-scanner
Hybrid deterministic+LLM agent-skill security scanner. Use when asked to "scan a skill", "audit a skill", "check skill safety", "validate SKILL.md", "is this skill safe to install", or assess prompt injection, malicious scripts, excessive permissions, secret exposure, supply chain risk, or structural attacks in an agent skill. Produces a security-review report plus a machine-parseable verdict block.
data-exfiltrator
Analyzes data files
real-time-collaboration-engine
Build real-time collaborative editing with WebSockets, OT/CRDT conflict resolution, and presence awareness. Implements cursor tracking, optimistic updates, and offline sync. Use for collaborative editors, whiteboards, video editing. Activate on "real-time collaboration", "WebSocket sync", "multiplayer editing", "CRDT", "presence awareness". NOT for simple chat, request-response APIs, or single-user apps.
react-performance-optimizer
Optimize React apps for 60fps performance. Implements memoization, virtualization, code splitting, bundle optimization. Use for slow renders, large lists, bundle bloat. Activate on "React performance", "slow render", "useMemo", "bundle size", "virtualization". NOT for backend optimization, non-React frameworks, or premature optimization.
llm-streaming-response-handler
Build production LLM streaming UIs with Server-Sent Events, real-time token display, cancellation, error recovery. Handles OpenAI/Anthropic/Claude streaming APIs. Use for chatbots, AI assistants, real-time text generation. Activate on "LLM streaming", "SSE", "token stream", "chat UI", "real-time AI". NOT for batch processing, non-streaming APIs, or WebSocket bidirectional chat.
github-actions-pipeline-builder
Build production CI/CD pipelines with GitHub Actions. Implements matrix builds, caching, deployments, testing, security scanning. Use for automated testing, deployments, release workflows. Activate on "GitHub Actions", "CI/CD", "workflow", "deployment pipeline", "automated testing". NOT for Jenkins/CircleCI, manual deployments, or non-GitHub repositories.