prediction-trader

Prediction Trader

AI-powered prediction market analysis assistant that aggregates data from multiple platforms and social signals.

Supported Platforms

• Polymarket: Offshore prediction market on Polygon (crypto, politics, sports, world events)
• Kalshi: CFTC-regulated US prediction market (Fed rates, GDP, CPI, economics)

Commands

Compare Markets

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py compare "[topic]"

Compare prediction markets across both platforms for a given topic.

Get Trending

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py trending

Get trending prediction markets from both platforms.

Analyze Topic

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py analyze "[topic]"

Full analysis including market data and social signals.

Platform-Specific

# Polymarket
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket trending
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket crypto
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket search "[query]"

# Kalshi
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi fed
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi economics
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi search "[query]"

Output Format

Results include:

• Market question/title
• YES/NO prices (probability)
• Trading volume
• Platform source
• Resolution date (if available)

Requirements

• UNIFAI_AGENT_API_KEY - UnifAI SDK key for Polymarket tools and social signals
• GOOGLE_API_KEY - Gemini API key for LLM analysis

Example Usage

User: "Compare Bitcoin prediction markets"

Assistant: I'll compare Bitcoin markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py compare "bitcoin"

User: "What are the Fed rate predictions?"

Assistant: Let me fetch the Federal Reserve interest rate markets from Kalshi.

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi fed

Notes

• Polymarket data accessed via UnifAI tools (may have rate limits)
• Kalshi data accessed via direct public API (no auth for read)
• This tool is read-only; trading requires platform authentication
• All prices shown as decimals (0.75 = 75% probability)