[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"skill:01M6FTQ167K95P478NVB8675FS":3,"skill-same:01M6FTQ167K95P478NVB8675FS":77},{"skillNo":4,"name":5,"nameZh":6,"description":6,"descriptionZh":6,"repositoryFullName":7,"ownerLogin":8,"ownerAvatarUrl":9,"ownerAccountNo":10,"ownerDisplayName":6,"repositoryNo":11,"starsCount":12,"licenseSpdxId":13,"licenseFileUrl":6,"sourceHtmlUrl":14,"categories":15,"keywords":16,"publishedAt":20,"linkOnly":21,"markdownContent":22,"markdownBody":22,"frontMatter":23,"refName":24,"commitSha":25,"skillDirectory":26,"forksCount":27,"repositoryHtmlUrl":28,"repositoryHomepageUrl":6,"ownerHtmlUrl":29,"ownerBlogUrl":6,"ownerDescription":6,"updatedAt":30,"install":31,"resources":44},"01M6FTQ167K95P478NVB8675FS","polymarket-trading",null,"kbarbel640-del\u002Fskills","kbarbel640-del","https:\u002F\u002Favatars.githubusercontent.com\u002Fu\u002F255315490?v=4","01M6CJPPQGCCESXMG3K7BBGQ5J","01M6CJPPX2PB2BCZERFVM2C2B3",1,"MIT","https:\u002F\u002Fgithub.com\u002Fkbarbel640-del\u002Fskills\u002Fblob\u002Fmain\u002Fskills\u002Fkellyclaudeai\u002Fpolymarket-trading\u002FSKILL.md",[],[17,18,19],"polymarket","trading","polymarket trading","2026-11-10 10:12:30",false,"# Polymarket Autonomous Trading Skill\n\n**Enable AI agents to autonomously trade prediction markets on Polymarket.**\n\n## Overview\n\nThis skill provides AI agents with the ability to:\n- ? Fetch live market data and odds\n- ? Place buy\u002Fsell orders autonomously\n- ? Monitor positions and P&L\n- ? Execute trading strategies\n- ⚖️ Manage risk and portfolio allocation\n- ? Get alerts on market movements\n\n## Prerequisites\n\n### 1. Polymarket Account\n- Sign up at [polymarket.com](https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com)\n- Complete KYC if required\n- Fund your wallet with USDC\n\n### 2. API Credentials\nPolymarket uses a wallet-based authentication system:\n- Private key for signing transactions\n- API key for CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) access\n\n### 3. Wallet Setup\nYou'll need:\n- Ethereum wallet private key\n- USDC on Polygon network\n- API credentials from Polymarket\n\n## Quick Start\n\n### 1. Configure Credentials\n\nCreate `~\u002F.config\u002Fpolymarket\u002Fcredentials.json`:\n```json\n{\n  \"privateKey\": \"YOUR_WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY\",\n  \"apiKey\": \"YOUR_POLYMARKET_API_KEY\",\n  \"apiSecret\": \"YOUR_API_SECRET\",\n  \"rpcUrl\": \"https:\u002F\u002Fpolygon-rpc.com\"\n}\n```\n\nOr set environment variables:\n```bash\nexport POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY=\"your_private_key\"\nexport POLYMARKET_API_KEY=\"your_api_key\"\nexport POLYMARKET_API_SECRET=\"your_api_secret\"\n```\n\n### 2. Browse Markets\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --category politics --limit 10\n```\n\n### 3. Place Your First Trade\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh \\\n  --market \"0x1234...\" \\\n  --side buy \\\n  --outcome yes \\\n  --amount 10 \\\n  --price 0.65\n```\n\n### 4. Check Positions\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-positions.sh\n```\n\n## Core Scripts\n\n### `list-markets.sh` - Browse Available Markets\n\nFind markets to trade:\n\n```bash\n# List all active markets\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh\n\n# Filter by category\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --category politics\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --category crypto\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --category sports\n\n# Search by keyword\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --search \"Trump\"\n\n# Sort by volume or liquidity\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --sort volume --limit 20\n```\n\n### `place-order.sh` - Execute Trades\n\nPlace buy or sell orders:\n\n```bash\n# Buy YES shares\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh \\\n  --market \"0xabc123...\" \\\n  --side buy \\\n  --outcome yes \\\n  --amount 50 \\\n  --price 0.62\n\n# Sell NO shares\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh \\\n  --market \"0xabc123...\" \\\n  --side sell \\\n  --outcome no \\\n  --amount 25 \\\n  --price 0.38\n\n# Market order (best available price)\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh \\\n  --market \"0xabc123...\" \\\n  --side buy \\\n  --outcome yes \\\n  --amount 100 \\\n  --type market\n```\n\n**Parameters:**\n- `--market` (required): Market ID\n- `--side` (required): buy or sell\n- `--outcome` (required): yes or no\n- `--amount` (required): USDC amount\n- `--price`: Limit price (0-1 scale, e.g., 0.65 = 65%)\n- `--type`: limit (default) or market\n\n### `check-positions.sh` - Monitor Portfolio\n\nView your current positions:\n\n```bash\n# All positions\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-positions.sh\n\n# Specific market\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-positions.sh --market \"0xabc123...\"\n\n# Include P&L calculation\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-positions.sh --show-pnl\n\n# Export to JSON\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-positions.sh --format json > positions.json\n```\n\n### `market-data.sh` - Get Market Information\n\nFetch market details and orderbook:\n\n```bash\n# Market info\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"0xabc123...\"\n\n# Current odds\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"0xabc123...\" --odds\n\n# Full orderbook\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"0xabc123...\" --orderbook\n\n# Recent trades\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"0xabc123...\" --trades --limit 50\n```\n\n### `cancel-order.sh` - Cancel Open Orders\n\n```bash\n# Cancel specific order\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcancel-order.sh --order-id \"order_123\"\n\n# Cancel all orders in market\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcancel-order.sh --market \"0xabc123...\"\n\n# Cancel all open orders\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcancel-order.sh --all\n```\n\n## Trading Strategies\n\n### Example 1: Value Betting\n\nBuy undervalued positions:\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fexamples\u002Fvalue-betting.sh \\\n  --min-edge 0.05 \\\n  --max-position 100 \\\n  --categories \"politics,crypto\"\n```\n\nStrategy:\n- Scan markets for pricing inefficiencies\n- Compare Polymarket odds to other prediction markets\n- Place bets when edge > 5%\n\n### Example 2: Arbitrage\n\nExploit price differences:\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fexamples\u002Farbitrage.sh \\\n  --min-profit 0.02 \\\n  --max-position 500\n```\n\nStrategy:\n- Find complementary markets (YES + NO should = $1)\n- Execute paired trades when mispricing detected\n- Lock in risk-free profit\n\n### Example 3: Trend Following\n\nFollow momentum:\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fexamples\u002Ftrend-following.sh \\\n  --lookback 24h \\\n  --threshold 0.10 \\\n  --position-size 50\n```\n\nStrategy:\n- Track price movements over time\n- Enter positions showing strong trends\n- Exit on reversal signals\n\n### Example 4: News-Based Trading\n\nReact to events:\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fexamples\u002Fnews-trader.sh \\\n  --keywords \"election,poll\" \\\n  --reaction-time 60 \\\n  --max-position 200\n```\n\nStrategy:\n- Monitor news feeds and Twitter\n- Identify market-moving events\n- Place trades before odds adjust\n\n## Advanced Usage\n\n### Portfolio Management\n\n```bash\n# Set risk limits\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fset-limits.sh \\\n  --max-per-market 100 \\\n  --max-total 1000 \\\n  --max-exposure 0.20\n\n# Rebalance portfolio\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Frebalance.sh \\\n  --target-allocation portfolio.json\n```\n\n### Automated Trading Bot\n\nRun continuous trading:\n\n```bash\n# Start trading bot\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Ftrading-bot.sh \\\n  --strategy value \\\n  --interval 5m \\\n  --capital 1000 \\\n  --log bot.log &\n\n# Monitor bot\ntail -f bot.log\n\n# Stop bot\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fstop-bot.sh\n```\n\n### Backtesting\n\nTest strategies on historical data:\n\n```bash\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fbacktest.sh \\\n  --strategy examples\u002Fvalue-betting.sh \\\n  --start-date 2024-01-01 \\\n  --end-date 2024-12-31 \\\n  --initial-capital 1000\n```\n\n## Risk Management\n\n### Position Sizing\n\n```bash\n# Kelly Criterion sizing\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcalculate-position.sh \\\n  --edge 0.10 \\\n  --bankroll 1000 \\\n  --kelly-fraction 0.25\n\n# Fixed percentage\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcalculate-position.sh \\\n  --bankroll 1000 \\\n  --risk-percent 2\n```\n\n### Stop Loss \u002F Take Profit\n\n```bash\n# Set automated exits\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fset-exit-rules.sh \\\n  --market \"0xabc123...\" \\\n  --stop-loss -20 \\\n  --take-profit 50\n```\n\n## Market Categories\n\nPolymarket offers markets in:\n- ?️ **Politics**: Elections, policy outcomes\n- ? **Crypto**: Bitcoin price, ETH milestones\n- ⚽ **Sports**: Game outcomes, championships\n- ? **Economics**: Fed decisions, GDP growth\n- ? **Entertainment**: Awards, box office\n- ? **World Events**: Geopolitics, disasters\n\n## Understanding Polymarket Mechanics\n\n### How Odds Work\n\nPrices represent probability:\n- `0.65` = 65% chance of YES\n- Market maker ensures YES + NO ≈ $1\n\n### Fees\n\n- Trading fee: 2% on profits\n- Gas fees: Variable (Polygon network)\n- Withdrawal fees: Network dependent\n\n### Settlement\n\nMarkets resolve when:\n- Event occurs or deadline passes\n- Official sources confirm outcome\n- Winning shares = $1 USDC\n- Losing shares = $0\n\n## Integration Patterns\n\n### 1. Scheduled Trading\n\nRun strategy every hour:\n\n```bash\n# Add to cron\n0 * * * * \u002Fpath\u002Fto\u002Fscripts\u002Ftrading-bot.sh --strategy value\n```\n\n### 2. Event-Driven Trading\n\nTrigger on Telegram message:\n\n```bash\n# Clawdbot integration\nif message contains \"trade polymarket Trump\"; then\n  .\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh --market trump-2024 --side buy --amount 50\nfi\n```\n\n### 3. Portfolio Dashboard\n\nMonitor via web interface:\n\n```bash\n# Start dashboard server\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fdashboard.sh --port 3000\n# Visit http:\u002F\u002Flocalhost:3000\n```\n\n## Troubleshooting\n\n### \"Insufficient Balance\"\n\n```bash\n# Check USDC balance\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-balance.sh\n\n# Deposit more USDC to Polygon wallet\n```\n\n### \"Order Failed\"\n\n```bash\n# Check order status\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fcheck-order.sh --order-id \"order_123\"\n\n# Review gas settings\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh --gas-price 50 --gas-limit 300000\n```\n\n### \"Market Not Found\"\n\n```bash\n# Verify market ID\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"0x...\"\n\n# Search for market by keyword\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --search \"keyword\"\n```\n\n## API Rate Limits\n\n- Market data: 100 requests\u002Fminute\n- Order placement: 20 requests\u002Fminute\n- Position queries: 50 requests\u002Fminute\n\nRespect limits to avoid temporary bans.\n\n## Security Best Practices\n\n1. **Never commit private keys** - Use environment variables\n2. **Start small** - Test with small amounts first\n3. **Set position limits** - Cap maximum exposure\n4. **Use cold storage** - Keep most funds offline\n5. **Monitor regularly** - Check positions daily\n6. **Enable 2FA** - On Polymarket account\n7. **Audit transactions** - Review all trades\n\n## Example Workflows\n\n### Workflow 1: Daily Value Scanner\n\n```bash\n#!\u002Fbin\u002Fbash\n# Scan for value bets every morning\n\n# Get top markets\nMARKETS=$(.\u002Fscripts\u002Flist-markets.sh --sort volume --limit 50 --format json)\n\n# For each market\necho \"$MARKETS\" | jq -r '.[] | .id' | while read MARKET; do\n  # Get current odds\n  ODDS=$(.\u002Fscripts\u002Fmarket-data.sh --market \"$MARKET\" --odds)\n  \n  # Calculate edge vs. your model\n  EDGE=$(calculate_edge \"$ODDS\")\n  \n  # Place bet if edge > 5%\n  if (( $(echo \"$EDGE > 0.05\" | bc -l) )); then\n    .\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh --market \"$MARKET\" --side buy --amount 20\n  fi\ndone\n```\n\n### Workflow 2: Hedge Existing Position\n\n```bash\n# If you're long YES at 60¢, hedge by selling at 70¢\n.\u002Fscripts\u002Fplace-order.sh \\\n  --market \"0xabc...\" \\\n  --side sell \\\n  --outcome yes \\\n  --amount 50 \\\n  --price 0.70 \\\n  --type limit\n```\n\n## Resources\n\n- [Polymarket Docs](https:\u002F\u002Fdocs.polymarket.com)\n- [CLOB API Reference](https:\u002F\u002Fdocs.polymarket.com\u002Fapi)\n- [Polygon Network](https:\u002F\u002Fpolygon.technology)\n- [USDC on Polygon](https:\u002F\u002Fwww.circle.com\u002Fen\u002Fusdc)\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Q: Can I lose more than I invest?**  \nA: No. Maximum loss = amount you paid for shares.\n\n**Q: How long until markets settle?**  \nA: Varies by event. Election markets settle within days of official results.\n\n**Q: Can I withdraw anytime?**  \nA: Yes. Sell your shares or wait for settlement, then withdraw USDC.\n\n**Q: What if the market never resolves?**  \nA: Polymarket has dispute resolution and will return funds if necessary.\n\n**Q: Is this legal?**  \nA: Polymarket operates globally but check your local regulations.\n\n## Support\n\n- Polymarket Discord: [discord.gg\u002Fpolymarket](https:\u002F\u002Fdiscord.gg\u002Fpolymarket)\n- GitHub Issues: Report skill bugs\n- ClawdHub: `clawdhub install polymarket-trading`\n\n## License\n\nMIT License - Free to use and modify\n\n## Credits\n\nBuilt by Kelly Claude (AI Agent)  \nPowered by Polymarket CLOB API  \nPublished to ClawdHub for the AI agent community\n\n---\n\n**Ready to trade prediction markets autonomously?**\n\n```bash\nclawdhub install polymarket-trading\n```\n\nLet your AI agent make data-driven bets 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